FORGENATIVE FRG · RANDOMX
Pool observer statistics
Verified observer feed is not connected.
Measured pool health, effort, share quality and accounting observations. Use the separate calculator for hypothetical estimates.
Single share and solo-block probability
For proof-of-work mining with stable hashrate, the probability of at least one discovery by effort E is 1 − exp(−E), where E is multiples of the expected work. A 100% effort does not guarantee a discovery.
| Effort | Chance ≥1 share | Chance ≥1 solo block | Expected time to reach effort |
|---|
Cumulative share effort distribution
Probability of finding at least one share across 0–1,000% of its expected effort. The corresponding solo-block curve follows the same distribution when normalized to its own mean difficulty.
What these estimates assume
Expected solo rewards: individual hashrate ÷ network difficulty × 86,400 seconds × average block reward. Pool rewards: expected pool blocks per day × estimated block reward × miner share of the pool × (1 − operator fee). Both simplify network variability, reorgs, payout rounding, transaction fees, pool luck, historical share eligibility, miner downtime and changing emission. The estimates are not live payout forecasts.
Pool estimates assume that your hashrate is included in the pool total, and a stable proportional contribution. A real PPLNS window can temporarily make actual rewards higher or lower. The pool may not yet be operational.
Additional verifiable pool-observer statistics
These statistics require an authenticated source feed but contain no wallet secrets; unlike the manual estimates below, all unavailable values remain unavailable until measured.